灰色实物型投入产出分析的覆盖解研究

doi:10.12005/orms.2015.0097

运筹与管理 ›› 2015, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (3): 165-171.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2015.0097

灰色实物型投入产出分析的覆盖解研究

李桥兴^1,2, 刘思峰³

1.贵州大学管理学院,贵州贵阳 550025;
2.兰州理工大学经济管理学院,甘肃兰州 730050;
3.南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏南京 210016

收稿日期:2012-12-25 出版日期:2015-06-12
作者简介:李桥兴(1973-),男,广西平乐人,副教授,博士后,系统科学与管理复杂性研究,数量经济理论与方法等。
基金资助:
中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目(200902321)

Grey Physical Input-output Analysis

LI Qiao-xing^1,2, LIU Si-feng²

1.School of Management, Guizhou University, Guiyang550025, China;
2.School of Eeconomics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology,Lanzhou730050, China;
3.College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing210016, China

Received:2012-12-25 Online:2015-06-12

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 由于国民经济系统的复杂性,人们在使用实物型投入产出分析工具时不可能获得各部门产品的投入与产出的确定值。采用灰色系统理论基本原理提出灰色实物型投入产出分析并给出模型及各种灰色分析系数的覆盖解公式。灰色实物型投入产出分析能处理统计数据为区间的情形,可以使决策者在不确定性情况下对复杂经济系统进行分析、预测和控制,提高人们的抗风险能力。模拟案例验证了模型计算的可行性。

关键词: 数量经济学, 灰色实物型投入产出分析, 灰色覆盖运算, 复杂经济系统, 灰色系数

Abstract: Because national economy is complex, we can not obtain the exact values of input and output of every product as we utilize the physical input-output analysis. By using grey system theory, we propose grey physical input-output analysis and get the covered solution formulas of grey model and grey coefficients. The grey physical input-output analysis can dispose the situation that the statistic datum are intervals, and the decision-makers can analyze, forecast and control the economic system under the uncertain situation, and the ability to resist risk can be improved. The modified case illustrates our method.

Key words: quantitative economics, grey physical input-output analysis, grey covered operation, complex economic system, grey coefficient

中图分类号:

F223

李桥兴, 刘思峰. 灰色实物型投入产出分析的覆盖解研究[J]. 运筹与管理, 2015, 24(3): 165-171.

LI Qiao-xing, LIU Si-feng. Grey Physical Input-output Analysis[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2015, 24(3): 165-171.

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灰色实物型投入产出分析的覆盖解研究

Grey Physical Input-output Analysis

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