运筹与管理 ›› 2020, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (11): 78-83.DOI: 10.12005/orms.2020.0386

• 理论分析与方法探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于混合型决策的应急物资保障能力关键因素识别研究

金卫健1, 黄传峰1, 仇冬芳2, 徐浩1   

  1. 1.南京工程学院经济与管理学院, 江苏南京 211167;
    2.南京航空航天大学经济管理学院, 江苏南京 210016
  • 收稿日期:2018-08-06 出版日期:2020-11-25 发布日期:2023-07-12
  • 作者简介:金卫健(1977-),男,江苏启东人,副教授,研究方向:决策理论与方法、应急管理;黄传峰(1969-),男,教授,研究方向:竞合战略;仇冬芳(1968-),女,副教授,研究方向:技术创新;徐浩(1989-),男,讲师,研究方向:情报挖掘。
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(18YJAZH010): 政治生态、政府补贴与企业双元技术创新绩效研究; 江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目(2020SJZDA069):基于竞合视角的新一代信息技术产业发展与融合机理研究; 南京工程学院科研创新基金重大项目:“互联网+”战略的微观机理:基于竞合视角的实证研究(CKJA201706)

The Study on ldentification of Key Factors of Emergency Material Support Capability Based on Hybrid Decision-making Method

JIN wei-Jian1, HUNAG Chuan-feng1, QIU Dong-fang2, XU Gao1   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Nanjing Institute of Technology, Nanjing 211167, China;
    2. School of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China
  • Received:2018-08-06 Online:2020-11-25 Published:2023-07-12

摘要: 应急物资保障能力建设是应急管理成功的关键, 然而, 在应急管理实践中, 影响和制约应急物资保障能力的关键因素往往难以识别。为此, 本文提出基于混合型决策的应急物资保障能力关键因素识别方法。该方法在构建应急物资保障能力影响因素语言初始直接关联矩阵基础上, 根据专家个人偏好的语义转化方式, 建立实数、区间数和三角模糊数的评价矩阵, 然后采用二元语义信息处理进行集结, 进而通过DEMATEL方法的处理, 有效的识别出应急物资保障能力的关键因素。应急管理实践的案例检验了本识别方法的可行性和可靠性, 也证明了本方法在应急管理中的广泛应用价值。

关键词: 混合型决策, 应急物资保障能力, 关键因素, DEMATEL, 二元语义

Abstract: Emergency supplies support capacity building is the key to the success of emergency management, but the key factors affecting and restricting the emergency supplies support capacity are often difficult to identify in the practice of emergency management. The paper puts forward an identification method of the emergency material support ability based on hybrid decision factor. On the basis of constructing the initial direct correlation matrix of influencing factors of emergency material support capability, the real number, the interval number and the triangular fuzzy number of evaluation matrix are built according to semantic transformation method of experts personal preference. Then, 2-tuple information processing is adopted for aggregation, and DEMATEL method can be used to effectively identify the key influencing factors of emergency supplies support capability. The feasi-bility and reliabilty of the identification method are tested by the case of emergency management, which proves the extensive application value of the method in emergency management.

Key words: hybrid decision-making, emergency supplies support capacity, key factors, DEMATEL, 2-tuple

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